CUC Villalba vs Rayo Vallecano B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
50.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
-42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
8º
15º
14º
33
7º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
69% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
31% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CUC Villalba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
GAL
2 - 0
CVI
58%
21%
20%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
LRZ
0 - 0
CVI
78%
14%
8%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CVI
0 - 0
ALC
28%
25%
46%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
URS
3 - 0
CVI
73%
18%
10%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CVI
4 - 3
ALC
17%
22%
61%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
RVB
1 - 0
CAN
75%
15%
9%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
RVB
3 - 1
POZ
48%
24%
28%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
GET
1 - 2
RVB
63%
20%
17%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
RVB
2 - 2
CDE
47%
23%
30%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 3
RVB
27%
24%
49%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |