CUC Villalba vs Galapagar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
53.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
8º
15º
14º
36
6º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
69% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
31% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CUC Villalba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
PER
1 - 3
CVI
31%
24%
45%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
CVI
2 - 0
ALC
57%
22%
21%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
COL
2 - 0
CVI
50%
23%
27%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
SHO
2 - 3
CVI
39%
24%
37%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
CVI
2 - 1
UZN
54%
22%
24%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Galapagar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
GAL
0 - 1
NAV
14%
23%
63%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
TRJ
1 - 1
GAL
49%
25%
26%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
GAL
0 - 0
ALC
26%
24%
51%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
LRZ
1 - 0
GAL
76%
15%
10%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
GAL
1 - 5
ATB
12%
22%
66%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | -1 |