Union Campestre vs Hercules SD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.5%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
79.3%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.2%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.8%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.6%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+127%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Campestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
OBR
2 - 1
UCA
75%
15%
11%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
RAC
0 - 2
UCA
51%
20%
29%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
UCA
4 - 8
SPO
12%
16%
72%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
LAR
2 - 2
UCA
49%
21%
31%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
UCA
2 - 8
ATL
19%
18%
63%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hercules SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
HER
4 - 0
OCA
84%
11%
6%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
HER
0 - 0
CAR
60%
19%
21%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CRI
0 - 3
HER
36%
21%
43%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
HER
5 - 0
MER
83%
11%
7%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 4
HER
11%
15%
74%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | +1 |