Atlético Cearense vs Maracanã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Cearense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 1
PAC
48%
23%
28%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2022 |
CRA
0 - 2
UNI
23%
23%
54%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 1
CAU
52%
21%
28%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
IGU
4 - 0
UNI
26%
25%
49%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -3 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 3
FER
20%
25%
55%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Maracanã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
CAU
1 - 0
MAR
50%
22%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 3
ICA
53%
26%
21%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
PAC
1 - 1
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
FER
10%
22%
68%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
IGU
1 - 2
MAR
46%
26%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |