União São João vs Matonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 3
UNI
29%
25%
47%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 0
USA
58%
21%
21%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
DES
0 - 0
UNI
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 1
VOT
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CAT
1 - 0
UNI
30%
24%
46%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Matonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
MAT
0 - 3
GRE
12%
20%
68%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ITA
4 - 0
MAT
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
MAT
0 - 1
CAT
23%
25%
52%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
4 - 1
MAT
56%
23%
22%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
MAT
0 - 6
MAR
15%
22%
63%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |