União São João vs Lemense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
12.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
GDS
2 - 1
UNI
18%
22%
61%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 1
GDS
66%
20%
15%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 1
NAC
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 0
UNI
22%
22%
56%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 0
NAC
65%
19%
16%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lemense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
LEM
0 - 2
MON
19%
21%
60%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
JUV
4 - 0
LEM
58%
23%
19%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
LEM
1 - 4
OES
10%
16%
74%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LEM
0 - 2
PPE
8%
16%
76%
|
37 | 69 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
PRI
2 - 2
LEM
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |