URT vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.1%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
47.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
NVE
1 - 1
URT
70%
19%
11%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
POA
2 - 0
URT
65%
21%
14%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
URT
2 - 5
BAH
36%
28%
36%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
URT
3 - 2
CAL
44%
27%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
REA
0 - 0
URT
65%
22%
13%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
FER
0 - 2
BAH
57%
24%
18%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
REA
3 - 0
FER
34%
30%
36%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
FER
0 - 0
NVE
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
INT
0 - 1
FER
36%
30%
34%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
POA
0 - 0
FER
33%
31%
36%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |