União de Coimbra vs Peniche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
8.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+59%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
14º
5º
37
6º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Coimbra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
BEN
0 - 0
COI
16%
25%
59%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
COI
1 - 0
GOU
73%
18%
9%
|
65 | 33 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 1
COI
14%
22%
65%
|
65 | 32 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SER
0 - 1
COI
14%
24%
62%
|
64 | 39 | 25 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
COI
2 - 1
LUS
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Peniche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 4
LUS
20%
24%
55%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
RAB
0 - 0
PEN
65%
21%
15%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 1
GDF
27%
24%
49%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
UFT
2 - 4
PEN
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 2
FCA
27%
23%
51%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |