Cup Paulista Semi-finals
Global 1-5
União Barbarense vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 2
RIO
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
RIO
0 - 2
UNI
38%
25%
37%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
UNI
5 - 1
AUD
27%
25%
48%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 1
UNI
43%
27%
31%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
LIN
2 - 2
UNI
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MIR
0 - 2
ITU
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ITU
2 - 3
MIR
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ITU
0 - 1
IND
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2015 |
MIR
2 - 1
ITU
42%
26%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ITU
2 - 1
SAO
50%
26%
25%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |