UM Escobedo vs SD Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
4º
3º
26
8º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
88.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
58% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
81% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
91.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
91.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
62% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 62% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 38% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
TEX
1 - 4
ESC
21%
24%
56%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ALB
2 - 2
ESC
48%
24%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ESC
0 - 0
TRO
26%
21%
52%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
NAV
1 - 0
ESC
33%
26%
41%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ESC
4 - 1
CAS
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
SD Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
GAM
1 - 4
TRO
9%
15%
75%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
NAV
1 - 0
GAM
65%
21%
14%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
GAM
1 - 3
CAS
43%
24%
33%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 0
GAM
38%
25%
38%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
GAM
1 - 2
CAY
18%
22%
60%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |