Ulm vs TSG Balingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
HOF
2 - 1
ULM
31%
24%
45%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
ULM
1 - 0
OFC
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
SGS
3 - 1
ULM
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
ULM
5 - 1
BAH
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
MAI
1 - 1
ULM
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
TSG Balingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
BAL
2 - 1
BAY
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
FRE
1 - 2
BAL
69%
18%
12%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
BAL
0 - 1
STE
16%
22%
62%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
PIR
0 - 0
BAL
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
HOF
2 - 2
BAL
57%
21%
22%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |