Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Final
Global 2-6
Újpest FC vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
19.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Újpest FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1969 |
NEW
3 - 0
UJP
56%
21%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1969 |
UJP
4 - 0
GOZ
78%
14%
8%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1969 |
GOZ
1 - 4
UJP
37%
25%
38%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1969 |
UJP
2 - 0
LEE
41%
25%
34%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1969 |
LEE
0 - 1
UJP
74%
16%
10%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1969 |
NEW
3 - 0
UJP
56%
21%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1969 |
NEW
2 - 0
GLA
57%
21%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1969 |
NEW
1 - 1
LIV
40%
29%
31%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1969 |
GLA
0 - 0
NEW
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1969 |
MAC
1 - 0
NEW
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |