Újpest FC vs Ferencvárosi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
43%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
6º
11º
8º
63
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Újpest FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
BUD
0 - 0
UJP
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
UJP
2 - 3
PAK
28%
24%
48%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
UJP
1 - 1
ZTE
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
PUS
2 - 0
UJP
40%
27%
34%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
UJP
1 - 1
MEZ
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ferencvárosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
VAS
0 - 1
FTC
24%
25%
51%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
FTC
3 - 1
BUD
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
SHR
1 - 0
FTC
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
FTC
4 - 0
SHR
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
FTC
4 - 0
FHV
48%
24%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |