Uganda vs Ivory Coast analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
62.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
SEN
0 - 1
UGA
76%
16%
7%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
COD
0 - 0
UGA
53%
25%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2023 |
UGA
1 - 1
CMR
24%
28%
48%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TZA
1 - 0
UGA
28%
27%
46%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
LBY
0 - 0
UGA
36%
26%
37%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ivory Coast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
COD
0 - 0
CIV
19%
24%
57%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CIV
0 - 1
SEN
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
BFA
2 - 1
CIV
24%
27%
49%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
CIV
4 - 0
BDI
83%
13%
5%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
CIV
3 - 1
GIN
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |