Uganda vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
43.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
KEN
0 - 0
UGA
28%
28%
44%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ETH
2 - 1
UGA
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
RSA
3 - 2
UGA
59%
25%
16%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
MWI
1 - 0
UGA
21%
26%
53%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
UGA
0 - 0
BFA
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
MLI
1 - 0
RWA
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
TUN
1 - 0
MLI
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
COD
1 - 1
MLI
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
ALG
1 - 0
MLI
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
MLI
3 - 0
CHA
82%
14%
4%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | +1 |