UPDF vs SC Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
39.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UPDF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2024 |
KCC
1 - 0
UPD
72%
16%
12%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
UPD
1 - 0
BRI
30%
26%
44%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
MCF
0 - 0
UPD
55%
23%
22%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
UPD
1 - 1
GAD
47%
24%
30%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
VIP
2 - 1
UPD
70%
17%
13%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
SC Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2024 |
SCV
3 - 2
WAK
56%
24%
21%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
KCC
2 - 0
SCV
61%
22%
17%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
GAD
0 - 1
SCV
31%
26%
43%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SCV
1 - 1
BRI
48%
27%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
SCV
0 - 0
VIP
44%
28%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |