Quart vs Porqueres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
28.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 3
QRT
13%
19%
69%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
QRT
2 - 1
JUV
22%
21%
57%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 3
QRT
80%
12%
7%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ESC
3 - 1
QRT
54%
21%
25%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
QRT
2 - 2
CAL
25%
22%
53%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Porqueres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
POR
1 - 0
PAL
42%
24%
34%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
UEL
2 - 1
POR
45%
24%
31%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
POR
2 - 0
BEL
73%
17%
10%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
POR
0 - 0
CEF
56%
22%
21%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
EMP
0 - 2
POR
13%
20%
67%
|
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 |