Udinese vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
62.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
EMP
2 - 1
UDI
51%
25%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
UDI
0 - 1
ACM
27%
25%
48%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
GEN
2 - 2
UDI
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
UDI
0 - 3
NAP
17%
21%
62%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
UDI
2 - 1
BRA
79%
13%
8%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ROM
4 - 1
SAM
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
CSK
1 - 2
ROM
28%
25%
47%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
FIO
1 - 1
ROM
33%
25%
42%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
NAP
1 - 1
ROM
53%
22%
25%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
ROM
3 - 0
CSK
68%
19%
13%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |