Serie A - Relegation tie-breaker Final
Global 1-1
Udinese vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1999 |
EMP
1 - 3
UDI
25%
25%
50%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
UDI
1 - 2
PRG
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
VIC
2 - 3
UDI
35%
26%
39%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
UDI
0 - 3
LAZ
44%
25%
31%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
INT
1 - 3
UDI
60%
21%
19%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1999 |
JUV
3 - 2
VNZ
76%
16%
8%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
BAR
0 - 1
JUV
27%
28%
46%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
JUV
0 - 2
ACM
59%
22%
19%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
SAL
1 - 0
JUV
23%
27%
50%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
JUV
2 - 1
FIO
58%
22%
20%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | +1 |