UD Sur vs CD Villa de Simancas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
27.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Sur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
UDS
2 - 2
BET
29%
21%
50%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 2
UDS
22%
21%
57%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
UDS
2 - 0
ATO
42%
22%
36%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
AGU
3 - 1
UDS
30%
22%
48%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
UDS
2 - 4
RIO
43%
23%
35%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD Villa de Simancas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
CDV
3 - 1
PED
48%
23%
29%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
CDF
0 - 1
CDV
26%
23%
51%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
CDV
1 - 1
BEN
12%
18%
70%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ZAM
4 - 1
CDV
88%
9%
3%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CDV
0 - 2
UNI
12%
17%
71%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |