UD Sur vs Arces analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.9%
18.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+122%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Sur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
AGU
4 - 5
UDS
13%
17%
69%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
UDS
1 - 0
UVA
70%
16%
15%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
PED
1 - 3
UDS
48%
22%
30%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
UDS
1 - 3
UNI
81%
12%
8%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CDV
2 - 1
UDS
33%
23%
44%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ARC
1 - 0
RAY
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
RIO
2 - 1
ARC
27%
22%
52%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ARC
2 - 2
ATO
55%
21%
24%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
MED
2 - 3
ARC
20%
20%
60%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ARC
1 - 0
RAC
76%
15%
10%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |