UD San Fernando vs Ibarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CDT
1 - 0
UDS
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
UDS
2 - 0
UDL
57%
22%
21%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
UPR
1 - 1
UDS
23%
24%
53%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
UDS
0 - 0
LAN
59%
22%
20%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
UDS
4 - 0
CSU
57%
22%
22%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
UDI
0 - 2
LLA
82%
12%
6%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
CDM
4 - 0
UDI
68%
19%
14%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
UDI
3 - 0
VER
76%
15%
9%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
CDB
0 - 1
UDI
25%
26%
49%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
UDI
0 - 0
UPR
75%
16%
10%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |