UD Ourense U19 vs Racing Ferrol U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
37.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-76%
+187%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
4º
13º
13º
60
3º
15º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
86 | 86 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
64% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
64% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
64% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
64% | |
|
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
37 | 38 |
14º
|
64% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 15 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Ourense U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
LER
0 - 0
OUR
43%
22%
35%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
OUR
0 - 2
DEP
13%
17%
70%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CEL
9 - 0
OUR
83%
11%
7%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
OUR
5 - 2
BER
63%
19%
18%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
COR
3 - 1
OUR
40%
22%
38%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BOI
0 - 3
FER
32%
21%
47%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FER
3 - 1
VAL
30%
22%
48%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
PAB
2 - 0
FER
52%
20%
28%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FER
1 - 2
PON
48%
22%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
POR
0 - 4
FER
57%
21%
22%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |