Lanzarote vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
58.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
LAN
5 - 1
RIB
78%
14%
7%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2002 |
PON
3 - 2
LAN
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
ULP
4 - 4
LAN
51%
27%
22%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2002 |
LAN
2 - 1
PON
67%
19%
15%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
ALC
1 - 1
LAN
38%
29%
34%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
FCB
2 - 2
ATM
72%
16%
12%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2002 |
ATM
1 - 1
BUR
83%
13%
4%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
RAC
1 - 0
ATM
45%
24%
31%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
ATM
3 - 2
EXT
77%
16%
7%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
OVI
2 - 3
ATM
37%
26%
38%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |