Uberlândia vs Itabirito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uberlândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
AMF
2 - 0
UBE
86%
10%
3%
|
46 | 85 | 39 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
UBE
0 - 1
DEM
28%
24%
48%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
UBE
1 - 1
PAT
28%
25%
47%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
TOM
2 - 2
UBE
83%
13%
4%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BET
0 - 1
UBE
40%
24%
36%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Itabirito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
POA
2 - 0
IFC
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
IFC
0 - 0
AMF
5%
13%
82%
|
39 | 85 | 46 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
IFC
0 - 2
VIL
29%
24%
47%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
DEM
1 - 3
IFC
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BOA
0 - 2
IFC
38%
24%
39%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |