TUS Makkabi vs Lichtenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
45.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
14º
7º
70
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 25% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 75% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TUS Makkabi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
TUM
0 - 0
ANK
75%
14%
10%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2024 |
TUM
2 - 5
ALT
12%
15%
73%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
NEU
1 - 1
TUM
29%
22%
49%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
OPT
1 - 4
TUM
26%
21%
53%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
TUM
1 - 1
DSC
76%
14%
10%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 1
LIC
14%
20%
66%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
HER
2 - 2
LIC
13%
19%
68%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
BAB
2 - 0
LIC
50%
23%
28%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
LIC
4 - 0
SCS
80%
13%
7%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MAH
0 - 4
LIC
15%
18%
67%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | +1 |