Cup 1/16
Global 1-6
Turbina Cërrik vs Erzeni Shijak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
65.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turbina Cërrik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
TUR
0 - 3
FLA
27%
27%
46%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
APO
5 - 2
TUR
66%
19%
14%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
TUR
0 - 0
BES
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
TUR
1 - 0
DEV
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
BUT
1 - 0
TUR
38%
25%
36%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Erzeni Shijak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ERZ
1 - 0
LAÇ
29%
31%
41%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 1
ERZ
70%
21%
10%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ERZ
0 - 0
TEU
25%
28%
46%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
KRU
0 - 0
ERZ
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ERZ
1 - 0
VLZ
25%
29%
46%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |