Série D Brazil Semi-finals
Global 6-1
Tupi vs Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
OES
0 - 3
TUP
48%
27%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ANA
2 - 2
TUP
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
TUP
4 - 1
ANA
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
TUP
4 - 2
VOL
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
VOL
1 - 0
TUP
43%
28%
29%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
OES
0 - 3
TUP
48%
27%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
MIR
3 - 1
OES
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -5 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
OES
3 - 1
MIR
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
OES
0 - 1
CIA
54%
26%
20%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CIA
0 - 1
OES
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |