Trofense vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
62.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
PEV
1 - 3
TRO
21%
22%
57%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MAF
0 - 0
TRO
66%
21%
13%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
TRO
0 - 0
CAS
18%
25%
57%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
TRO
2 - 1
PEN
13%
23%
64%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 1
TRO
83%
12%
5%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
VIN
0 - 3
NAC
5%
10%
85%
|
58 | 10 | 48 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 2
CAS
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 0
NAC
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 1
VAR
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
NAC
41%
25%
35%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |