Tristán Suárez vs Laferrere analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
42.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
SUA
0 - 0
COM
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
PLA
2 - 0
SUA
59%
25%
16%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
SUA
1 - 3
ATL
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
CCO
1 - 1
SUA
52%
26%
22%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
SUA
3 - 0
ALM
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Laferrere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ESP
2 - 1
LAF
24%
31%
45%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
LAF
2 - 0
ARM
65%
21%
13%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BER
0 - 0
LAF
38%
30%
33%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
LAF
2 - 0
DOC
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
POR
0 - 0
LAF
25%
30%
45%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |