Tristán Suárez vs Almagro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
31.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
SUA
2 - 1
RSA
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
DEF
1 - 6
SUA
54%
28%
19%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +2 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
SUA
1 - 1
STM
41%
28%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
DAL
1 - 1
SUA
47%
28%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
SUA
4 - 1
SMA
22%
28%
50%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
FER
1 - 2
ALM
40%
29%
31%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
ALM
2 - 1
MOR
36%
29%
35%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
CAG
0 - 2
ALM
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
ALM
3 - 0
ALB
42%
29%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
ALM
1 - 1
RSA
35%
29%
36%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |