Treze vs Serra Branca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+106%
+132%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
TRE
1 - 1
SAN
23%
26%
50%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SOU
1 - 0
TRE
62%
22%
16%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
TRE
2 - 1
SOU
30%
28%
42%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
TRE
1 - 0
SPC
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SPC
1 - 1
TRE
37%
26%
38%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Serra Branca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
RFC
3 - 1
SER
77%
16%
8%
|
16 | 59 | 43 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SPC
0 - 0
SER
70%
18%
12%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
SER
3 - 2
AUT
14%
18%
68%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
SER
1 - 1
NAC
10%
15%
75%
|
12 | 37 | 25 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
CSP
1 - 1
SER
73%
17%
10%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | 0 |