Trem DC vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.6%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
18.4%
74.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
18.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
18%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
23.3%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trem DC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 1
TDC
48%
24%
28%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
TDC
5 - 0
SEC
74%
16%
9%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
TDC
1 - 0
ECM
70%
18%
12%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
IAP
3 - 3
TDC
40%
22%
38%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
TDC
2 - 0
IAP
34%
23%
44%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
NAU
1 - 0
SPO
19%
26%
55%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 1
FOR
33%
26%
41%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 0
POR
91%
7%
2%
|
84 | 31 | 53 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
ITA
1 - 2
SPO
12%
23%
65%
|
84 | 50 | 34 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
SPO
3 - 1
TRE
90%
8%
2%
|
84 | 43 | 41 | 0 |