CAF Champions Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
TP Mazembe vs Raja Casablanca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
RCA
2 - 0
TPM
43%
27%
31%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
LUB
1 - 2
TPM
28%
27%
46%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
TPM
2 - 0
SIM
82%
13%
5%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
DAU
0 - 2
TPM
21%
27%
52%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
NDB
1 - 5
TPM
16%
29%
55%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Raja Casablanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
RCA
2 - 0
TPM
43%
27%
31%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
RAJ
1 - 2
RCA
12%
21%
67%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ISM
1 - 0
RCA
27%
25%
49%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
FAR
1 - 0
RCA
35%
25%
39%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
RCA
0 - 1
ALG
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |