Tours vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
38.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tours
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2016 |
MET
2 - 1
TOU
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
TOU
1 - 2
NIO
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
CLE
0 - 1
TOU
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
TOU
1 - 2
NÎM
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
ETG
0 - 0
TOU
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2016 |
ASN
1 - 0
ETG
54%
24%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2016 |
VAL
1 - 0
ASN
28%
28%
44%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
ASN
1 - 0
SOC
56%
25%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LHA
1 - 3
ASN
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
ASN
1 - 0
LUS
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |