Tours vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
41.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tours
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
AJA
2 - 1
TOU
60%
23%
18%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
TOU
0 - 0
MET
22%
22%
56%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
TOU
2 - 1
NIO
42%
26%
33%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2018 |
REI
1 - 0
TOU
69%
19%
11%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2018 |
TOU
0 - 0
CLE
30%
26%
44%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
AUX
1 - 1
PFC
50%
28%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
NAN
3 - 4
AUX
61%
24%
15%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
ORL
2 - 3
AUX
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2018 |
AUX
5 - 0
NIO
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2018 |
AUX
1 - 1
LHA
36%
29%
36%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |