Toulouse vs Rodez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
5.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
REI
3 - 0
TFC
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
TFC
2 - 3
MAR
31%
25%
45%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
TFC
3 - 1
REN
31%
24%
45%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
TFC
3 - 1
REI
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PSG
2 - 1
TFC
76%
15%
9%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Rodez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ROD
0 - 2
BAS
30%
28%
42%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 0
ROD
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ROD
1 - 1
NÎM
37%
27%
35%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
AUX
2 - 3
ROD
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
ROD
1 - 2
SOC
22%
29%
49%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |