Q. Europa League PlayOffs Final
Global 5-0
Tottenham Hotspur vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
6.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2011 |
MUD
3 - 0
TOT
72%
17%
11%
|
89 | 96 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
HOM
0 - 5
TOT
21%
25%
55%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
TOT
2 - 1
ATH
62%
21%
16%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
PIR
1 - 1
TOT
17%
24%
59%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
TOT
2 - 1
BIR
70%
19%
12%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
KIL
0 - 0
HOM
45%
27%
29%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
HOM
0 - 5
TOT
21%
25%
55%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
HOM
3 - 0
ABE
62%
23%
15%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
MHE
1 - 0
HOM
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
HOM
4 - 1
PAK
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |