Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
60.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2004 |
BUR
0 - 3
TOT
31%
26%
43%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
TOT
2 - 3
CHA
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
FUL
2 - 0
TOT
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
BOL
3 - 4
TOT
53%
25%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
TOT
1 - 2
BOL
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2004 |
ARS
3 - 1
EVE
79%
14%
7%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
CRY
1 - 1
ARS
10%
19%
71%
|
94 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2004 |
ARS
1 - 1
PAN
82%
13%
5%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
ARS
2 - 2
SOU
82%
13%
6%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
MAC
1 - 2
ARS
21%
24%
55%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |