Tosno vs Arsenal Tula analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tosno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ZEN
5 - 0
TOS
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
TOS
1 - 3
KRA
31%
26%
44%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
DIN
0 - 1
TOS
56%
24%
21%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
TOS
0 - 0
TOM
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
TOS
1 - 1
FCR
30%
27%
42%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal Tula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
ARS
0 - 0
FCR
27%
29%
45%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
ARS
3 - 1
DNM
39%
29%
32%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
SKA
1 - 2
ARS
33%
28%
39%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
ARS
1 - 0
CSK
25%
29%
46%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
ANZ
3 - 2
ARS
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |