Torreense vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
67.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torreense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 0
CAL
56%
25%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
GDR
0 - 1
TOR
21%
25%
54%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
TOR
4 - 1
ANG
72%
19%
9%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 0
NAC
8%
16%
76%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 1
TOR
23%
26%
52%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 1
MOR
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 1
CHA
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 0
MAR
32%
28%
41%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 0
FCP
20%
25%
55%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
CHA
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |