Torpedo Zhodino vs Naftan Novopolotsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
17.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
2º
5º
3º
23
6º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 14 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torpedo Zhodino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
BAT
1 - 2
TOR
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
TOR
0 - 0
SLA
54%
23%
22%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 1
FKS
61%
24%
16%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SLA
0 - 1
TOR
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 1
ISL
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Naftan Novopolotsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
NAF
0 - 1
BEL
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 0
NAF
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
NAF
0 - 3
DIN
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
DNM
3 - 1
NAF
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
NAF
0 - 0
MIN
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |