Toronto FC vs DC United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
TOR
1 - 0
COC
63%
21%
17%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CFS
2 - 2
TOR
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2019 |
TOR
1 - 0
MON
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
LAN
1 - 1
TOR
69%
17%
14%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2019 |
MON
1 - 0
TOR
37%
25%
38%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
DCU
0 - 0
CIN
76%
16%
9%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
RBN
0 - 0
DCU
52%
25%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2019 |
DCU
2 - 0
SES
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
POR
0 - 1
DCU
55%
24%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
DCU
1 - 1
PUE
57%
23%
21%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |