Canadian Championship Quarter-finals
Global 11-1
Toronto FC vs Saint-Laurent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
7.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
TOR
5 - 1
MON
31%
25%
45%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
NSC
2 - 0
TOR
61%
22%
18%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 3
NYC
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
SLA
0 - 3
TOR
6%
12%
82%
|
75 | 42 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
TOR
3 - 1
DAL
31%
27%
42%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Saint-Laurent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2024 |
SLA
0 - 3
TOR
6%
12%
82%
|
42 | 75 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
HFX
2 - 2
SLA
72%
16%
12%
|
42 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ROY
4 - 1
SLA
23%
23%
54%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SLA
5 - 1
LAN
90%
7%
3%
|
44 | 9 | 35 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
OTT
0 - 6
SLA
8%
13%
79%
|
43 | 14 | 29 | +1 |