Tondela vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
43%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
TON
0 - 1
PAÇ
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
VIT
5 - 2
TON
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
SCP
2 - 0
TON
82%
14%
4%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2021 |
TON
3 - 1
LEX
56%
22%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
TON
4 - 2
MAR
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
EST
2 - 2
FAM
47%
25%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
BEL
0 - 1
EST
32%
28%
41%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
SPB
2 - 0
EST
77%
15%
8%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2021 |
EST
2 - 2
SAN
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
SER
0 - 5
EST
4%
10%
86%
|
72 | 26 | 46 | -1 |