Tondela vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
66%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
FEI
3 - 0
TON
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
AVE
0 - 1
TON
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
BOA
0 - 0
TON
51%
27%
22%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
TON
1 - 3
VIT
27%
25%
48%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
RIO
2 - 4
TON
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
SLB
2 - 1
LYO
62%
20%
19%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
COV
0 - 4
SLB
10%
20%
71%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2019 |
ZEN
3 - 1
SLB
40%
25%
36%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
SLB
1 - 0
VST
84%
11%
5%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
SLB
0 - 0
VIT
76%
15%
9%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |