Mineiro 1 Troféu Inconfidência Final
Global 5-3
Tombense vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 2
TOM
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
TOM
0 - 0
POA
57%
22%
21%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
POA
2 - 2
TOM
29%
25%
46%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
TOM
1 - 0
RFC
54%
22%
24%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
AMF
3 - 1
TOM
77%
16%
7%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 2
TOM
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
CUI
1 - 1
VIL
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 0
DEM
64%
23%
13%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 2
CUI
23%
27%
50%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
DEM
0 - 2
VIL
17%
25%
58%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |