Tombense vs Patrocinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
7.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
ATM
1 - 1
TOM
79%
14%
6%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
DEM
2 - 2
TOM
16%
23%
61%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
TOM
1 - 0
ATH
69%
18%
13%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
POA
1 - 2
TOM
13%
19%
68%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
TOM
2 - 2
UBE
83%
13%
4%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
PAT
2 - 1
IFC
36%
24%
39%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
CRZ
3 - 0
PAT
84%
13%
4%
|
53 | 86 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PAT
0 - 1
VIL
53%
25%
21%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
UBE
1 - 1
PAT
28%
25%
47%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
PAT
2 - 1
ATM
8%
22%
71%
|
53 | 90 | 37 | +1 |