Tombense vs Operário MT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
21.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
GRÊ
3 - 1
TOM
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
TOM
2 - 0
GRÊ
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
OPE
1 - 0
TOM
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
TOM
4 - 0
GOI
50%
26%
25%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
LUZ
0 - 1
TOM
33%
27%
41%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Operário MT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
OPE
1 - 0
GRÊ
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
LUZ
0 - 0
OPE
45%
27%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
GRÊ
0 - 3
OPE
47%
26%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
OPE
1 - 2
LUZ
58%
24%
18%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
OPE
1 - 0
TOM
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |