Tombense vs EC São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
18.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
BOA
1 - 1
TOM
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
TOM
3 - 0
PAT
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 1
TOM
24%
27%
50%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
CRZ
2 - 0
TOM
76%
18%
6%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
TOM
2 - 2
BOT
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
SLU
2 - 1
ECS
40%
27%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
ECS
0 - 0
SLU
36%
27%
38%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
ECS
2 - 2
CAX
30%
28%
43%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ECA
1 - 3
ECS
41%
27%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
GRE
3 - 0
ECS
84%
12%
4%
|
50 | 86 | 36 | 0 |